← Outpost ghent | store championship
Wind Tera MageTier 2
at Outpost ghent | store championship
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.7% | -11.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 63 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 63 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Healing Aura | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirited Neophyte | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incantation of Prosperity | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devoted Bloomweaver | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Razorgale Calling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Mana | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zhou Yu, Enlightened Sage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bagua of Vital Demise | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Usurp the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nature's Appeal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shard of Empowerment | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Apprentice Aeromancer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Harmonious Mantra | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Landscape Corsair | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Insight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Leeching Bolt | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three Visits | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tome of Sorcery | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sempiternal Sage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Enervating Decay | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chibi, Battle of Red Cliffs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Palatial Concourse | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nocturnal Blossom | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disorienting Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Entrancing Filigree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bairui, Resplendent Barrier | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nimue, Cursed Touch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Idle Thoughts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Regret | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Magnificent Banquet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bauble of Abundance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Art of War | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kaleidoscope Barrette | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heighten Spellcraft | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planar Abyss | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |