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Water Crux MageTier 1

at Paladin's Place Store Championship

decks
1 (7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3 2-1-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2% avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302 · median 1302 · range 1302–1302 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976 Q1 1166 Q3 1357 1490
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 7.7% 0
Fire Exia 7.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 7.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.3% +10.0
Fire Slimes 7.7% 0
Water Allies 7.7% 0
Water Genbu 7.7% 0
Wind Chess 7.7% 0
Wind Razorgale 7.7% 0
Wind Seiryuu 7.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.7% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 7.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.7
Wind Wakeup Combo 7.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.6% -15.0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/45595/archetypes/Water Crux Mage