← Paladin's Place Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 1
at Paladin's Place Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-0-1
overall winrate
90.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.7%
avg ELO +7.9 per match
expected value
58.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1454
· median 1454
· range 1454–1454
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1166
Q3 1357
1490
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Water Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
