Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
3-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.4%
avg ELO +6.3 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1567
· median 1567
· range 1567–1567
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1136
Q1 1187
Q3 1265
1567
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Alice | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
