Store championship @ Trinity

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.0%	46.7%	50.0%	1127	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	31.9%	40.0%	41.6%	1091	↓ low
3		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.8%	46.7%	49.4%	1067	↓ low
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.7%	46.7%	48.9%	1127	↓ low
5		Water Chess	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.5%	50.0%	50.2%	1173	—
6		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	47.7%	52.5%	49.2%	1327	↑ top
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	53.0%	50.0%	51.3%	1222	—
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	12.5%	5-0-0	100.0%	66.0%	60.0%	55.8%	1382	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Assassin 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%