EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Lokalne granie.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Fire Slimes
56.0%
↑ top
1st
Water Ravishing Mill
58.7%
↑ top
3rd
Fire Umbra Guardian
53.3%
↑ top
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 87.5% | 50.0% | 58.7% | 50.0% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 52.9% | 56.0% | 51.2% | 1268 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 20.0% | 8 | 50.0% | 51.3% | 53.3% | 50.9% | 1272 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Diana | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | 50.3% | 1227 | — |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 20.0% | 8 | 56.2% | 49.9% | 50.6% | 49.8% | 1192 | — |
| 6 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.8% | 44.0% | 49.4% | 1096 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Slimes | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 16.7% | 47.1% | 38.5% | 48.4% | 1087 | ↓ low |