Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Gold Star PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9%
avg ELO -3.9 per match
expected value
44.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1351
· median 1351
· range 1351–1351
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
996
Q1 1307
Q3 1428
1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.6% | -10.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
