← Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 3 | 12.5% | 15 | 66.7% | 52.2% | 54.3% | 51.0% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 12.5% | 13 | 69.2% | 63.8% | 53.6% | 53.5% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 47.5% | 53.3% | 52.0% | 1339 | — |
| 4 | Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 41.9% | 53.3% | 50.0% | 1349 | — |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 8.3% | 10 | 60.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | 53.7% | 1214 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 45.4% | 52.3% | 48.1% | 1607 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 64.8% | 52.3% | 55.5% | 1307 | — |
| 8 | Water Fractal | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 59.4% | 48.1% | 50.6% | 1327 | — |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 40.4% | 46.7% | 44.9% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 46.7% | 46.7% | 1278 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 8.3% | 9 | 38.9% | 43.7% | 46.3% | 47.1% | 1263 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 46.8% | 45.7% | 48.8% | 1231 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 8.3% | 9 | 38.9% | 51.9% | 45.4% | 49.0% | 1360 | — |
| 14 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.3% | 45.0% | 46.8% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 51.1% | 43.8% | 47.5% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Cats | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.3% | 42.9% | 45.8% | 1258 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Wind Arisanna | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 12.5% | 34.7% | 42.5% | 43.9% | 1267 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 31.5% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1338 | — |