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Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2

at The Banish Zone's Store Championship

decks
1 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.0% avg ELO +2.6 per match
expected value
45.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 989 · median 989 · range 989–989 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989 Q1 1259 Q3 1400 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Exia 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.2% -4.5
Fire Firebloom Burn 10.0% 0
Fire Oblation 10.0% 0
Water Allies 10.0% 0
Water Fractal 10.0% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 10.0% 0
Water Slimes 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 64.6% +23.4
Wind Alice 10.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.5% -2.3
Wind Umbra Ranger 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.1% -6.3
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/46428/archetypes/Fire Umbra Guardian