← The Banish Zone's Store Championship
Water FractalTier 1
at The Banish Zone's Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-1-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.9%
avg ELO +5.7 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1340
· median 1340
· range 1340–1340
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1259
Q3 1400
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.3% | +26.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Slimes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
