← GFM - Grand Archive - Store Champion

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GFM - Grand Archive - Store Champion. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Shadowstrike 1 5.0% 5 100.0% 72.5% 60.0% 58.1% 1325
2 Water Aetherwing 1 5.0% 5 80.0% 54.0% 58.7% 52.3% 1408 ↑ top
3 Water Luxem Guo Jia 1 5.0% 5 70.0% 57.6% 55.0% 53.4% 1216 ↓ low
4 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 5.0% 5 70.0% 60.4% 54.0% 53.7% 1276
5 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 5.0% 5 60.0% 50.0% 53.3% 50.9% 1283
6 Wind Astra Cleric 1 5.0% 5 60.0% 54.5% 53.3% 52.8% 1186 ↓ low
7 Fire Aggro 1 5.0% 5 60.0% 48.2% 52.0% 49.4% 1457 ↑ top
8 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 5.0% 5 60.0% 59.5% 52.0% 53.4% 1458 ↑ top
9 Fire Crux Mage 1 5.0% 5 50.0% 48.6% 50.0% 49.2% 1406 ↑ top
10 Water Ravishing Mill 1 5.0% 4 50.0% 47.0% 50.0% 48.8% 1331
11 Arcane 1 5.0% 5 40.0% 48.3% 48.0% 49.4% 1308
12 Wind Diana 1 5.0% 5 40.0% 42.6% 48.0% 47.3% 1354 ↑ top
13 Wind Luxem Zander 1 5.0% 4 50.0% 42.6% 48.0% 44.9% 1335
14 Fire Aetherwing 2 10.0% 10 40.0% 51.6% 47.9% 50.6% 1374 ↑ top
15 Wind Allies 1 5.0% 4 37.5% 51.3% 47.5% 50.5% 1230 ↓ low
16 Fire Suzaku 1 5.0% 4 25.0% 31.1% 44.0% 41.7% 1305
17 Horse and Taxes 1 5.0% 2 0.0% 39.8% 40.0% 43.9% 1121 ↓ low
18 Wind Byakko 1 5.0% 4 0.0% 40.5% 40.0% 46.2% 1010 ↓ low
19 Water Astra Ranger 1 5.0% 3 0.0% 38.7% 40.0% 44.7% 1156 ↓ low