Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.8%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1215
· median 1215
· range 1215–1215
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1127
Q3 1285
1463
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 22.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
