Water AetherwingTier 1
at PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1258
· median 1258
· range 1258–1258
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1127
Q3 1285
1463
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 22.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.3% | +7.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 22.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | -12.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
