← Hard Brick Games Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Hard Brick Games Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-7-2
overall winrate
46.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1241
· median 1241
· range 1220–1262
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1209
Q3 1268
1414
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 10.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.3 |
