Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1184
· median 1184
· range 1184–1184
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1257
Q3 1430
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.7% | +26.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Chess | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
