Stadium PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	20.0%	5-3-0	62.5%	49.8%	53.9%	50.7%	1363	↑ top
2		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-1	37.5%	48.4%	47.5%	49.3%	1179	↓ low
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	10.0%	2-2-0	50.0%	46.6%	48.0%	47.2%	1330	↑ top
4		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-2-0	50.0%	42.5%	50.0%	46.7%	1352	↑ top
5		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	1	10.0%	4-0-0	100.0%	86.3%	63.3%	69.4%	1163	↓ low
6		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-1	37.5%	46.7%	46.0%	47.5%	1242	—
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-2-2	25.0%	40.6%	44.0%	46.0%	1171	↓ low
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-1	62.5%	48.8%	52.5%	49.5%	1348	↑ top
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-3-1	12.5%	40.4%	42.0%	45.7%	1175	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 10.0%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 10.0%