← Saturday Phantom Monarchs Store Champs
Water AetherwingTier 1
at Saturday Phantom Monarchs Store Champs
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.3%
avg ELO +9.4 per match
expected value
56.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1298
· range 1298–1298
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1236
Q3 1392
1408
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 18.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.9% | +6.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
