Fire AetherwingTier 1
at 貓腳印東門店ptm店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
9-4-1
overall winrate
67.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1398
· median 1398
· range 1294–1502
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
996
Q1 1244
Q3 1367
1502
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 48.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Wind Alice | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
