Water Crux MageTier 1
at 貓腳印東門店ptm店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.1%
avg ELO +3.8 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1311–1311
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
996
Q1 1244
Q3 1367
1502
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Alice | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
