← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship Event
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship Event.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 33.3% | 9 | 61.1% | 50.3% | 54.0% | 50.3% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 22.2% | 7 | 64.3% | 54.7% | 54.0% | 52.6% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 59.5% | 52.5% | 55.4% | 1203 | — |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 51.0% | 43.3% | 49.2% | 1120 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 41.5% | 40.0% | 45.1% | 941 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 37.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | 1098 | ↓ low |