← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/12/2026
Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/12/2026
decks
1
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.7%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1388
· median 1388
· range 1388–1388
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1194
Q3 1415
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
