← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/22/2026

Water GenbuTier 2

at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/22/2026

decks
1 (5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 0-2-2
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2% avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
46.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278 · median 1278 · range 1278–1278 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1147 Q1 1234 Q3 1439 1517
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Byakko 11.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.2
Fire Crux Lorraine 5.9% 0
Fire Crux Mage 5.9% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.9% 0
Fire Oblation 5.9% 0
Fire Slimes 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.1
Fire Suited 5.9% 0
Fire Suzaku 5.9% 0
Fire Umbra Ciel 5.9% 0
Horse and Taxes 5.9% 0
Water Aetherwing 5.9% 0
Water Allies 5.9% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.3
Water Fractal 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.1
Wind Luxem Zander 5.9% 0
Wind Seiryuu 5.9% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/47147/archetypes/Water Genbu