← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #12
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #12.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 6.7% | 1 | 100.0% | 50.8% | 60.0% | 50.8% | 1276 | — |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.7% | 1 | 100.0% | 50.8% | 60.0% | 50.8% | 1276 | — |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 2 | 13.3% | 4 | 87.5% | 51.3% | 57.5% | 50.5% | 1279 | — |
| 4 | Slimes | 1 | 6.7% | 2 | 75.0% | 51.0% | 56.7% | 50.8% | 1047 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 52.5% | 50.1% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.5% | 52.0% | 50.1% | 1302 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.4% | 50.0% | 49.9% | 1222 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 50.0% | 49.9% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 13.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.7% | 48.0% | 49.9% | 1288 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.4% | 45.0% | 49.6% | 1231 | — |
| 11 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 13.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.0% | 45.0% | 49.6% | 1132 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Ciel | 1 | 6.7% | 1 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 1111 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.2% | 40.0% | 49.1% | 1170 | ↓ low |