← Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 20.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.2% | -11.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Fire Suited | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 10.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 45 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Enchanted Fete | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Devouring Malice | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Infernal Vessel | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Beguiling Coup | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Abnegation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Library Witch | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Planted Explosive | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Undying Dreams | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Thieving Cut | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Reflected Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Overpowering Defense | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamme Sorcel | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Profane Bindings | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grim Pastiche | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Consumption Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |