← Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Water AetherwingTier 1
at Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.3%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1307
· range 1275–1339
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1043
Q1 1184
Q3 1381
1474
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 30.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.8% | +11.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Fire Suited | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -5.8 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
