← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-4-2
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.0%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1206
· median 1206
· range 1203–1209
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1205
Q3 1368
1453
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Fire Exia | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
