← GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Water GenbuTier 1
at GAMERSSHOP STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
7-3-0
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.2%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1368
· median 1368
· range 1269–1467
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1217
Q3 1440
1642
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Water Chess | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
