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Water Tera MageTier 1

at JadiFun PTM Season Store Championship

decks
1 (4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 1-1-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.8% avg ELO +6.2 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1187 · median 1187 · range 1187–1187 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1127 Q1 1202 Q3 1359 1411
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 14.3% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 9.5% 0
Water Aetherwing 9.5% 0
Water Genbu 9.5% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 54.2% +4.0
Wind Shadowstrike 9.5% 0
Fire Aggro 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.1% -7.8
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 64.4% +23.0
Fire Crux Mage 4.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 55.0% +8.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.8% 0
Fire Oblation 4.8% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.8% 0
Horse and Taxes 4.8% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 4.8% 0
Wind Chess 4.8% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/47451/archetypes/Water Tera Mage