← JadiFun PTM Season Store Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at JadiFun PTM Season Store Championship
decks
3
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-9-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
48.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1238
· median 1235
· range 1145–1335
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1127
Q1 1202
Q3 1359
1411
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 46.7% | -1.9 |
| Water Genbu | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -16.9 |
| Wind Chess | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
