← Common Ground Games PTM Store Championship
Wind ArcaneTier 1
at Common Ground Games PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-1-1
overall winrate
78.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.8%
avg ELO +4.9 per match
expected value
57.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1607
· median 1607
· range 1607–1607
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1244
Q3 1385
1607
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.2% | +8.9 |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.1% | -3.7 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Wind Byakko | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
