Common Ground Games PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	3	15.8%	5-3-0	62.5%	54.3%	52.9%	51.5%	1358	—
2		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	10.5%	3-5-0	37.5%	43.0%	47.1%	47.8%	1339	—
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	5.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	35.6%	40.0%	41.4%	1106	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	5.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.4%	45.7%	46.9%	1323	—
5		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	5.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.7%	50.0%	50.8%	1339	—
6		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	1	5.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	57.5%	54.7%	54.1%	1349	—
7		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	5.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	39.0%	40.0%	43.4%	1191	↓ low
8		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	5.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	45.5%	54.3%	51.5%	1278	—
9		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	5.3%	6-0-1	92.9%	62.5%	59.8%	55.1%	1425	↑ top
10		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	5.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	36.3%	40.0%	43.3%	1126	↓ low
11		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	5.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	56.2%	56.0%	54.0%	1578	↑ top
12		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	5.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.5%	42.9%	46.2%	1231	↓ low
13		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	5.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	41.6%	40.0%	45.0%	1303	—
14		Wind Arcane	Tier 1	1	5.3%	5-1-1	78.6%	59.8%	57.7%	54.1%	1607	↑ top
15		Wind Byakko	Tier 1	1	5.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	59.3%	50.0%	54.9%	1338	—
16		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	5.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.9%	46.7%	48.4%	1299	—
17		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	5.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	41.6%	40.0%	45.0%	1303	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 3 decks · 15.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 10.5%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 5.3%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 5.3%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 5.3%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 5.3%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 5.3%