← Gaia GA PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gaia GA PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 62.5% | 48.9% | 54.5% | 51.0% | 1482 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.9% | 7 | 71.4% | 60.1% | 53.6% | 52.8% | 1461 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 3 | 17.6% | 10 | 70.0% | 61.4% | 52.4% | 52.8% | 1337 | — |
| 4 | Fire Suited | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 69.1% | 51.4% | 56.3% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 44.4% | 48.0% | 51.2% | 51.1% | 1259 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 56.1% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.3% | 50.0% | 50.5% | 1228 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 44.4% | 40.1% | 46.1% | 44.6% | 1333 | — |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.1% | 45.7% | 47.9% | 1126 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 30.4% | 45.0% | 40.5% | 1444 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 20.0% | 33.7% | 44.4% | 45.8% | 1281 | — |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 58.1% | 42.9% | 50.6% | 1154 | ↓ low |