Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Inferno Store Championship
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-4-2
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.2%
avg ELO -5.4 per match
expected value
46.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1385
· median 1385
· range 1186–1584
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1160
Q1 1180
Q3 1388
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 29.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 35.2% | -11.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 5.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.4% | +8.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
