Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at Inferno Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-1-4
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
45.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1183
· median 1183
· range 1183–1183
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1160
Q1 1180
Q3 1388
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 29.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
