Fire ExiaTier 1
at Lokalne granie
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
2-1-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1202
· median 1202
· range 1202–1202
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1060
Q1 1158
Q3 1284
1430
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
| Water Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
