← Lokalne granie

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Lokalne granie

decks
2 (16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2% avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
50.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1274 · median 1274 · range 1218–1330 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1060 Q1 1158 Q3 1284 1430
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Exia 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.0% -3.2
Fire Polkhawk 8.3% 0
Fire Slimes 8.3% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 8.3% 0
Water Fractal 8.3% 0
Water Seiryuu 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.7% +2.7
Water Tera Cleric 8.3% 0
Wind Arcane 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.2% +1.9
Wind Diana 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.8% -3.5
Wind Razorgale 8.3% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Calming Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit of Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Grim Foreboding -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Fragmented Spirit of Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Noble Dissolution -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Gentle Respite -1.00 0 1 0
Unmake Duality -1.00 0 1 0
Fast Cure -1.00 0 1 0
Scry the Skies -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
The Looking Glass -1.00 0 1 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester +1.00 1 0 0
Abnegation -1.00 0 1 0
Mastermind Scheme +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Sharpen Blade -1.00 0 1 0
Undeniable Truth -1.00 0 1 0
Luster's Shroud +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -1.00 0 1 0
Tempest Downfall -1.00 0 1 0
Umbra Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Shadow Resonance -1.00 0 1 0
Slice and Dice +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Windmill Engineer +1.00 1 0 0
Purifying Thurible -1.00 0 1 0
Assassin's Ripper +1.00 1 0 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0
Penumbral Waltz -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/48704/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike