← PTM Store Championship LMCafe
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at PTM Store Championship LMCafe
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
6-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.8%
avg ELO +10.6 per match
expected value
67.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
61.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1478
· median 1478
· range 1478–1478
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1135
Q1 1181
Q3 1328
1478
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 16.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.3% | +10.8 |
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 65.6% | +11.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
