RDO Season Start Tournament!

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	2	22.2%	2-2-2	50.0%	50.1%	50.0%	50.1%	1297	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	49.4%	43.3%	49.7%	1134	↓ low
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-0-1	83.3%	51.3%	56.7%	50.6%	1323	↑ top
4		Slimes	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.8%	40.0%	49.3%	1280	—
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-0-1	83.3%	50.7%	57.5%	50.4%	1378	↑ top
6		Wind Exalted Alice	Tier 1	1	11.1%	0-0-1	50.0%	49.6%	50.0%	49.6%	1313	—
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	50.2%	52.2%	50.3%	1231	↓ low
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	49.6%	47.8%	49.6%	1301	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 11.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Exalted Alice 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 11.1%