← MY Hobby Radiant Origins Store Championship
Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at MY Hobby Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.7%
avg ELO -7.7 per match
expected value
45.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1406
· median 1406
· range 1280–1532
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1207
Q3 1408
1532
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 24.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.4% | -7.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.0% | -17.6 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
| Fire Suited | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.6 |
