← MY Hobby Radiant Origins Store Championship

Wind SeiryuuTier 1

at MY Hobby Radiant Origins Store Championship

decks

6 (24.0% of field)

matches (non-mirror)

18 8-7-3

overall winrate

52.8%

ELO-adjusted winrate

53.0% avg ELO +1.2 per match

expected value

51.0% share-weighted (raw)

EV (ELO-adj)

51.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)

Pilot Skill · average

mean ELO 1351 · median 1392 · range 1124–1472 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)

1124 Q1 1207 Q3 1408 1532

33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 17% in the bottom.

Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent	Their share	Matches	W-L-D	Raw WR	Shrunk WR	Adj WR	ELO Δ/match
Fire Aetherwing	8.0%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	60.7%	+17.2
Water Luxem Assassin	8.0%	3	2-1-0	66.7%	57.1%	60.6%	+7.9
Wind Razorgale	8.0%	4	0-3-1	12.5%	31.2%	23.4%	-17.0
Fire Arcane	4.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Crux Mage	4.0%	2	1-1-0	50.0%	50.0%	55.7%	+5.5
Fire Oblation	4.0%	1	0-1-0	0.0%	40.0%	43.6%	-10.3
Fire Ravishing Mill	4.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Fire Suited	4.0%	2	1-0-1	75.0%	58.3%	57.1%	+6.8
Water Aetherwing	4.0%	1	0-1-0	0.0%	40.0%	46.8%	-5.1
Water Allies	4.0%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	61.9%	+19.1
Water Fractal	4.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Water Tera Kongming	4.0%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	54.7%	+7.5
Wind Byakko	4.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Crux Lorraine	4.0%	2	1-0-1	75.0%	58.3%	56.6%	+6.3
Wind Overlord	4.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Shadowstrike	4.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Wakeup Combo	4.0%	0	—	—	—	—	—

Decklists · 6 from this event

The 6 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Stifling Trap, Veiling Breeze, Ensnaring Fumes. Losers more often ran: Seiryuu's Command, Resolute Stand, Noble Dissolution.

↑ Played more by winners

Stifling Trap

Winning decks ran 2.8 copies on average, losing decks 1.4.

Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 1.

Veiling Breeze

Winning decks ran 3.2 copies on average, losing decks 2.0.

Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Ensnaring Fumes

Winning decks ran 1.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.

Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.

Reclaim

Winning decks ran 2.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.

Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 2.

Aesan Protector

Winning decks ran 2.4 copies on average, losing decks 1.4.

Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.

Backup Charger

Winning decks ran 0.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.

Of 5 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.

↓ Played more by losers

Seiryuu's Command

Losing decks ran 3.4 copies on average, winning decks 2.6.

Of 5 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 1.