← GA Middle East Weekly RDO #1
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at GA Middle East Weekly RDO #1
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1424
· median 1424
· range 1357–1490
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1196
Q3 1378
1490
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Mordred | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Water Exia | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Alice | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
