GA Middle East Weekly RDO #1

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	2	22.2%	3-2-1	58.3%	49.4%	51.7%	49.8%	1424	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-0-2	66.7%	50.3%	52.5%	50.1%	1379	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	50.8%	47.5%	50.3%	1134	↓ low
4		Fire Luxem Mordred	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.8%	40.0%	49.4%	1196	↓ low
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-0-0	100.0%	51.9%	60.0%	51.2%	1378	↑ top
6		Water Exia	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-1-0	50.0%	50.1%	46.7%	49.9%	1369	↑ top
7		Wind Alice	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.5%	55.0%	50.4%	1313	—
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.6%	40.0%	49.3%	1170	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Luxem Mordred 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Exia 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Alice 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 11.1%