← GA Middle East Weekly RDO #2
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly RDO #2.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 100.0% | 50.3% | 60.0% | 50.2% | 1490 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.6% | 55.0% | 50.5% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 22.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | 50.0% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Chess | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 50.0% | 51.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1111 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.7% | 46.7% | 49.4% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.5% | 45.0% | 50.1% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.2% | 40.0% | 49.5% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.5% | 40.0% | 49.8% | 1134 | ↓ low |