← GA Middle East Weekly RDO #3
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly RDO #3.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 51.4% | 60.0% | 50.5% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.4% | 53.3% | 50.2% | 1205 | — |
| 3 | Wind Tera Kongming | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 25.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 50.0% | 50.3% | 1234 | — |
| 5 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 49.9% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 48.9% | 42.5% | 49.4% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 47.7% | 40.0% | 48.6% | 1490 | ↑ top |