EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Lokalne granie.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 100.0% | 53.3% | 60.0% | 51.3% | 1346 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 48.9% | 58.7% | 49.9% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 52.0% | 53.3% | 50.9% | 1371 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 2 | 18.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 51.1% | 51.7% | 50.4% | 1243 | — |
| 5 | Water Whirlpool Mill | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.9% | 50.0% | 49.6% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 18.2% | 6 | 50.0% | 51.5% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 1274 | — |
| 7 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 49.0% | 42.5% | 49.3% | 1096 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Polkhawk | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 47.3% | 40.0% | 48.7% | 1060 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 46.6% | 36.7% | 47.9% | 1173 | ↓ low |