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Water Luxem AssassinTier 2

at Radiant Origins Store Championship

decks
1 (9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2 0-2-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.5% avg ELO -16.8 per match
expected value
40.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1451 · median 1451 · range 1451–1451 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1053 Q1 1197 Q3 1381 1451
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Genbu 18.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.8% -18.0
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 9.1% 0
Slimes 9.1% 0
Water Fractal 9.1% 0
Water Neos 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.2% -15.6
Wind Neos Tonoris 9.1% 0
Wind Seiryuu 9.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 9.1% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/51050/archetypes/Water Luxem Assassin