Water FractalTier 2
at Pi RDO SC
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
26.2%
avg ELO -13.7 per match
expected value
37.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1210
· median 1210
· range 1106–1313
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1166
Q3 1341
1466
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 14.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.1% | -6.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
