← Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Championship PTM season - Kamenn Enterprise. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Exia 1 4.8% 8 81.2% 61.9% 57.3% 55.0% 1433 ↑ top
2 Wind Nico 1 4.8% 7 71.4% 48.8% 55.6% 50.7% 1406 ↑ top
3 Fire Oblation 2 9.5% 12 66.7% 54.7% 54.1% 51.7% 1344 ↑ top
4 Fire Umbra Alice 1 4.8% 6 66.7% 64.8% 53.6% 56.0% 1240
5 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 4.8% 6 58.3% 64.1% 52.9% 55.5% 1205
6 Water Aetherwing 1 4.8% 6 58.3% 50.4% 52.9% 51.2% 1322 ↑ top
7 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 4.8% 7 64.3% 58.6% 51.9% 52.0% 1364 ↑ top
8 Water Fractal 2 9.5% 10 60.0% 55.2% 50.9% 50.5% 1254
9 Fire Suzaku 1 4.8% 6 50.0% 45.7% 49.5% 48.3% 1389 ↑ top
10 Fire Aggro 1 4.8% 5 40.0% 48.4% 46.7% 48.7% 1273
11 Water Astra Ranger 1 4.8% 5 40.0% 45.6% 46.7% 47.2% 1164 ↓ low
12 Water Crux Mage 1 4.8% 5 40.0% 49.2% 46.7% 48.4% 1165 ↓ low
13 Fire Crux Mage 1 4.8% 5 40.0% 55.5% 45.7% 50.0% 1181 ↓ low
14 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 4.8% 4 25.0% 33.5% 45.0% 43.4% 1221
15 Fire Umbra Ciel 1 4.8% 4 25.0% 47.4% 45.0% 48.9% 1022 ↓ low
16 Horse and Taxes 1 4.8% 4 25.0% 40.8% 44.0% 45.9% 1111 ↓ low
17 Wind Astra Cleric 1 4.8% 5 20.0% 34.0% 44.0% 44.2% 1232
18 Wind Crux Assassin 1 4.8% 5 20.0% 45.8% 43.3% 48.1% 999 ↓ low
19 Wind Seiryuu 1 4.8% 4 0.0% 24.9% 40.0% 40.3% 1129 ↓ low