← Gralnia i Grand Archive - Radiant Origins Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gralnia i Grand Archive - Radiant Origins Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 55.5% | 54.4% | 56.3% | 1371 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 14.3% | 12 | 62.5% | 53.8% | 52.6% | 50.8% | 1280 | — |
| 3 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 7.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 72.5% | 52.4% | 57.4% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 7.1% | 7 | 71.4% | 48.4% | 52.4% | 47.7% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 2 | 14.3% | 10 | 55.0% | 49.3% | 51.7% | 50.2% | 1250 | — |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 53.8% | 50.0% | 50.2% | 1276 | — |
| 7 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.7% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 36.1% | 50.0% | 45.0% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.7% | 48.9% | 49.0% | 1268 | — |
| 10 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 45.7% | 46.1% | 48.7% | 1096 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Neos | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 20.0% | 39.9% | 41.3% | 44.3% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 10.0% | 40.2% | 40.6% | 46.1% | 1111 | ↓ low |