← MVP X RDO Store Championship
Water Tera KongmingTier 1
at MVP X RDO Store Championship
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.6%
avg ELO +6.7 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1207
· median 1207
· range 1207–1207
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1171
Q3 1399
1472
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
